Not Started
Chaves vs Penafiel Prediction at 06-02-2026
Feb 620:15
Chaves vs Penafiel: A Pivotal Clash in the Primeira Liga
As the clock ticks down to February 6, 2026, football fans are bracing themselves for a thrilling encounter between Chaves and Penafiel at the Estadio Municipal de Chaves. This match holds significant importance in the Primeira Liga, as both teams are striving to secure vital points in their campaigns. With the relegation battle intensifying and playoff aspirations on the horizon, the stakes couldn't be higher. The historical rivalry between these two sides adds another layer of excitement, as they look to assert dominance in this crucial fixture.
Team Analysis: Chaves
Chaves enters this match with a mixed bag of performances in their last five outings, recording two wins, two losses, and a draw. Their recent form highlights a lack of consistency, yet a win against a top-tier team has buoyed team morale. Key players such as striker Bruno Lopes have been pivotal, leading the team in goals while displaying a keen eye for creating opportunities. Defensively, however, the team has shown vulnerability, conceding 10 goals over these matches, which raises concerns heading into this encounter.
Team Analysis: Penafiel
On the other side, Penafiel has been riding a wave of momentum with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. The resurgence can largely be credited to their attacking midfielder, Luan Ferreira, whose creativity and vision have unlocked opposing defenses. Penafiel's defense has been solid, conceding only six goals during this stretch, suggesting they have found a balance between offense and defense. However, they must remain cautious of injuries, with left-back Nuno Coelho working his way back from a minor knock.
Statistical Overview
- Head-to-Head Record: In their last five encounters, Chaves has managed two victories, while Penafiel has claimed three. Their most recent clash ended in a 2-1 victory for Penafiel, amplifying the rivalry.
- Season Performance Indicators: Chaves has netted 25 goals while allowing 29, indicating struggles in defense, whereas Penafiel has scored 32 goals with 24 conceded, showcasing a slightly stronger defensive unit.
- Home/Away Dynamics: Chaves has been formidable at home with a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss at the Estadio Municipal. In contrast, Penafiel has found it challenging on the road, showing a record of 2 wins, 3 losses, and 3 draws.
Contextual Factors
The match is expected to be played under clear skies, with temperatures hovering around 15°C, an ideal setting for a high-tempo football match. The crowd at Chaves will undoubtedly create an electrifying atmosphere, providing the home side with an important advantage. Additionally, Penafiel's concerns regarding Nuno Coelho's fitness could prove critical, as a fully fit defense will be essential to withstand Chaves's attacking threats.
Prediction and Betting Insights
In a match that promises intensity and tactical intrigue, the prediction leans towards a closely contested affair. However, Chaves’ home advantage and recent history give them a slight edge. Anticipate a 2-1 victory for Chaves, who will look to capitalize on their crowd's support and Penafiel's possible defensive frailties. For bettors, a wager on Chaves to win and both teams to score could be an enticing option, reflecting the attacking talents present on both sides. With a 55% probability of a home win and a 25% chance for a draw, the dynamics are favoring Chaves to achieve critical points in this crucial phase of the league.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda Liga(Regular Season - 21)
Referee:
No information
