Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction at 07-02-2026

Team Analysis and Recent Form

Both Bournemouth and Aston Villa have shown notable fluctuations in form recently, making this contest a pivotal moment for each side as they seek to build momentum.

• Bournemouth: The Cherries have had a rollercoaster of a season, currently highlighted by their last five matches which have resulted in 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. Defensively solid in their recent home match against Chelsea, they managed a commendable 1-1 draw, followed by a thrilling 3-2 victory over Fulham.
• Key Players: Dominic Solanke has been in sensational form, contributing with crucial goals and assists. However, the absence of their defensive linchpin, Jefferson Lerma, due to suspension, could impact their stability at the back.

• Aston Villa: On the other hand, Villa has been riding high on a strong turnaround lately, with their recent results showing 3 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 loss. Their most impressive performance came with a comprehensive 4-0 victory over Wolverhampton, showcasing their attacking prowess.
• Key Players: Ollie Watkins has consistently proven to be a game-changer for Villa, supported by the creativity of Emi Buendía. The only concern for Villa is Leon Bailey’s ongoing fitness issues which have limited his availability.

Statistics and Head-to-Head Records

Historically, this match has seen a competitive edge, with the last five encounters showing a balanced outcome: both teams winning twice with one match ending in a draw. Bournemouth tends to perform better at home; however, the last meeting at Bournemouth saw them lose 2-1 to Villa.

• Goals Scored & Conceded: Bournemouth has scored 23 goals this season but conceded 29. Villa, meanwhile, has netted 30 goals with 24 conceded, indicating a more aggressive attacking style.
• Home/Away Dynamics: Bournemouth have only lost once in their last five home games, while Villa have a mixed away record with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five on the road.

Contextual Factors

The fixture will take place at the Vitality Stadium where Bournemouth enjoys the vocal support of their passionate home crowd, often acting as the 12th man. Weather conditions are expected to be chilly, with light rain, potentially complicating the pitch and impacting the play style for both teams.

Injuries are another major consideration. Bournemouth’s Lerma’s absence could leave a gap in their midfield, while Villa is eager to see if Bailey can make a return or if his absence will lead to new strategies being employed ahead of kick-off.

Prediction and Conclusion

Considering all factors—the current form of both teams, key player performances, historical outcomes, and potential external influences—this match could very well tip in Villa’s favor. Their attacking firepower combined with Bournemouth's defensive concerns suggests a challenging day for the home side.

The bold prediction, backed by logic and analysis, is a 2-1 victory for Aston Villa. Expect an engaging match where both teams unleash their attacking intent, but ultimately, Villa's greater depth and form should see them emerge victorious. For those looking to place bets, a Villa win appears a strong probability, while over 2.5 goals could also be a worthwhile wager given both teams' offensive capabilities.