Bologna vs Parma Prediction at 08-02-2026

Recent Form and Performance Metrics

Bologna enters this fixture with a solid track record, having secured 10 points from their last five matches. Recent victories against mid-table teams have bolstered their confidence as they aim for a top-half finish. Key players such as Sandro Tonali have been instrumental in their recent success, orchestrating the midfield with vision and precision.

In contrast, Parma, despite being lower in the standings, has shown resilience in their recent fixtures, claiming 7 points in their last five outings. Their ability to grind out results, particularly against stronger opponents, makes them a dangerous contender. Look for Gervinho to be a pivotal player, using his speed and creativity to unlock Bologna's defense.

Key Matchups and Game-Changers

The midfield battle is expected to be fiercely contested, with Bologna's Tonali squaring off against Parma's Yann Karamoh. The duel between their creativity and energy could set the tone for the entire match. Furthermore, Bologna’s defensive line, anchored by Stefan De Vrij, must remain vigilant against the pace and skill of Gervinho, who thrives in one-on-one situations.

From a tactical perspective, Bologna may opt for a more possession-oriented style, aiming to control the game's tempo, while Parma could look to sit back, absorb pressure, and hit on the counterattack. This contrasting approach will be pivotal in dictating the dynamics of the match.

Statistics and Head-to-Head Records

In their last five meetings, Bologna holds a slight edge with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss against Parma. Historically, these encounters have been closely contested, with a tendency for defensive stalemates. Bologna has scored 8 goals and conceded 5 in those matches, while Parma averages 1.2 goals per match this season.

Looking at the season overall, Bologna has scored 28 goals while conceding 22, giving them a goal difference of +6. Parma, on the other hand, sits at 21 goals with 27 conceded, indicating their struggles defensively. This numerical narrative suggests that Bologna may have the upper hand, particularly playing at home.

Contextual Factors: Venue and External Influences

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara will be rocking, and the Bologna supporters are known for their passionate presence, which often spurs the home team to greater heights. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, around 15°C with no rain forecasted, allowing both teams to play an open brand of football. However, Bologna’s injury report has a significant impact; their star winger, Riccardo Orsolini, is doubtful, which could limit their attacking options.

Prediction and Betting Insights

As we analyze all the factors at play, it is reasonable to predict a closely fought battle. Bologna’s home advantage and superior recent form tilt the odds in their favor. Expect a final scoreline of Bologna 2 - 1 Parma. This outcome reflects Bologna's attacking prowess against a struggling Parma defense while recognizing the visitors' ability to capitalize on counter-attacks.

For betting aficionados, consider Bologna to win but with a tight margin; betting on "over 2.5 goals" could also be lucrative given both teams’ attacking tendencies. As the match approaches, this derby promises to deliver excitement, skill, and perhaps a few surprises along the way.