Everton vs Bournemouth Prediction at 10-02-2026

Team Breakdown: Recent Form and Key Players

Everton: Currently sitting just above the relegation zone, Everton's form has been inconsistent, posting a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches. The team's reliance on their home turf has been both a blessing and a curse; their passionate fans can lift the players, but mounting pressure often leads to unexpected performances. Key players such as Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Amadou Onana must step up. Calvert-Lewin, with his dynamic presence upfront, can be a game-changer, particularly against a fragile Bournemouth defense.

Bournemouth: Bournemouth enters this match with a record of 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five outings. Despite their position in the standings, they remain a threat on the counter-attack, boasting pacey forwards like Antoine Semenyo who can disrupt Everton's defensive setup. The Cherries have struggled defensively, conceding 13 goals in their last five matches, indicating a need for significant improvement. However, the return of experienced defender Marcos Senesi could provide the stability they desperately need.

Statistical Insights and Tactical Matchups

In terms of head-to-head encounters, Everton holds a slight edge, winning 4 out of the last 8 matches played against Bournemouth, with the Cherries winning twice. Their last meeting saw Bournemouth snatch a 2-1 victory at home, suggesting Everton will be eager for redemption.

When analyzing season performance indicators, Everton has scored 20 goals while conceding 30, reflecting their struggles in both attack and defense. In contrast, Bournemouth has netted 25 goals but has conceded a staggering 35. This puts significant pressure on their back line to shore up before facing a physical Everton side.

A pivotal matchup to watch will be the battle between Everton's central midfielder Onana and Bournemouth's playmaker Marcus Tavernier. Onana's robust style might counter Tavernier’s creativity, potentially dictating the pace and flow of the game.

Contextual Factors: Venue Dynamics and Injuries

Goodison Park is known for its raucous atmosphere, and the home crowd will play a vital role in urging Everton on as they seek points to bolster their Premier League survival. Weather conditions could also be a factor, with forecasts indicating light rain which could affect ball control, favouring a more direct style of play.

Injuries are a concern for both sides. Everton is set to miss key defender Vitaliy Mykolenko due to suspension, which could leave them vulnerable at the back. Conversely, Bournemouth will likely have a near-full squad, raising hopes for a strong response in their quest to move up the table.

Prediction: A Hard-fought Draw with Defensive Resilience

Given the context and current form of both teams, a draw seems the most logical outcome for this encounter. Each side will likely be cautious, focusing on defensive solidity with the stakes so high. Expect a tightly contested match with a prediction of 1-1, as both teams will aim to secure at least a point in their battle for survival.

Betting Tips: The odds may favour a draw, which could offer compelling returns for punters. Consider leveraging the total goals market here, with under 2.5 total goals presenting a strong possibility given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities. Overall, with their passionate fan bases and the stakes at hand, this match promises an intense evening of Premier League action.