ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur Prediction at 16-01-2026

Team Analysis: ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur

ADO Den Haag

Currently positioned 7th in the league table, ADO Den Haag has showcased a mixed bag of performances recently, with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five fixtures. Their last outing against FC Groningen, which ended in a 1-1 draw, reflected both resilience and missed opportunities. Key players like forward Jordy Wehrmann and midfielder Jesse Schuurman are crucial to the attack, both commanding presence in goal-scoring and creating chances. The team's home record this season has been relatively strong, with a 75% win rate at the Kyocera Stadion, which will undoubtedly bolster their confidence during this matchup.

Cambuur

On the opposite side, Cambuur sits just a few places below ADO Den Haag, at 9th in the standings. With a recent run marked by 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches, they are looking to regain form after a hard-fought draw against De Graafschap where they fought back from a goal down to equalize. Key player Robert Mühren, the team captain, has been pivotal with 9 goals this season and will look to continue his scoring streak against ADO. With away games historically being challenging for Cambuur, their motivation to break the trend makes this match imperative for their ambitions.

Statistical Breakdown

• Head-to-Head Record: In the last 10 encounters, ADO Den Haag has won 5 matches while Cambuur has managed 3 victories, with 2 matches ending in draws.
• Current Season Goals: ADO Den Haag has scored a total of 30 goals while conceding 25, presenting a goal difference of +5. Cambuur, in contrast, has found the net 28 times and conceded 30, leading to a goal difference of -2.
• Venue Dynamics: The Kyocera Stadion is renowned for its supportive atmosphere, often giving the home team an instrumental edge that can significantly influence the players' performances.

Contextual Factors

The weather forecast for January 16 predicts cloudy skies with temperatures around 5°C, which could lead to a slippery pitch — additional evidence that physical play may see an uptick, favoring teams with a robust midfield. Injury concerns linger for Cambuur, with defender Jordy van Deelen ruled out, which may impact their defensive cohesion. For ADO, an injury to Maurice Steijn could shift their tactics slightly, yet the squad depth should remain adequate to compete effectively.

Prediction and Insights

Given the current forms, home advantage, and significant motivation, ADO Den Haag appears poised to secure the win in what is expected to be a tightly contested match. My prediction is a 2-1 victory for ADO Den Haag. Expect an early goal from Wehrmann, followed by a resilience phase from Cambuur, with Mühren leveling the score before ADO snatches the winner in the dying moments. Betting insights indicate a reasonable value in backing ADO Den Haag to win outright, and probabilistic models suggest a 55% likelihood to take the three points at home, with an over/under of 2.5 goals showing promising potential owing to both squads’ attacking capabilities.