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Mafra vs União Santarém Prediction at 16-01-2026
Jan 1620:00
The Clash of Ambitions: Mafra vs União Santarém
As the clock ticks down to January 16, 2026, anticipation mounts for the electrifying encounter between Mafra and União Santarém. Set against the backdrop of a fiercely competitive league season, this match not only carries vital points but also boasts rich historical narratives and personal stakes for both clubs. Mafra, aiming to secure a play-off position, will clash with União Santarém, who are desperate to distance themselves from the relegation zone. This matchup promises to be a test of will, strategy, and skill as both teams look to carve their path in a pivotal moment of the season.
Team Analysis
Mafra's Strengths and Recent Form
Mafra enters this encounter boasting a strong home record, having won four of their last five matches. Their recent form (W-W-L-W-W) illustrates their growing confidence, particularly at their home ground, Estádio Municipal de Mafra. Key players such as striker Gonçalo Silva, who has netted 8 goals this season, and midfielder Carlos Ferreira, marked by his creative play, have been instrumental in the team's successes. However, a noticeable defensive weakness has emerged, conceding 10 goals in their last five appearances, a statistic they’ll aim to rectify against Santarém.
União Santarém: Resilience and Determination
On the flip side, União Santarém has had a rocky road, with a recent form (L-W-L-L-W) showcasing their struggle for consistency. Nonetheless, their away game resilience, having secured two wins in their last four outings, keeps their hopes alive. The emergence of forward Marco Leite, who has shown flashes of brilliance with 7 goals this season, could make a significant difference. Defensively, however, the team needs to tighten up, having allowed 12 goals in their last five fixtures—a statistic that could prove costly against an informed Mafra attack.
Statistical Insights
- Head-to-Head Record: In their last five meetings, Mafra has secured 3 wins, while União Santarém has managed 1 win, and they’ve drawn once. This trend suggests Mafra's familiarity with overcoming Santarém.
- Goals Scored: Mafra averages 1.8 goals per match this season, while Santarém’s tally stands at 1.1 goals per match. This discrepancy in scoring potency could tip the game in Mafra’s favor.
- Home/Away Dynamics: Playing at home has been a fortress for Mafra, with a 70% win rate at Estádio Municipal. Conversely, União Santarém’s away record isn’t as promising, with a mere 30% win rate on the road.
Contextual Factors and Predictions
The weather on match night is expected to be mild, with light winds and no rain forecasted, which typically leads to an open and attacking style of gameplay. However, injury concerns loom large for União Santarém, notably the potential absence of veteran defender Rui Santos, whose experience would be missed in high-pressure situations.
Mafra has every reason to go all out for victory to bolster their league standings while União Santarém must seek a point to fend off relegation fears. This clash represents more than just a game; it's about survival and aspirations.
Final Prediction
Considering the form, statistical insights, and the significant stake in this matchup, I predict Mafra will take the victory with a scoreline of 2-1. Their attacking prowess at home, coupled with União Santarém’s defensive vulnerabilities, suggests a match won through sheer commitment and a little bit of skill. As for betting enthusiasts, a wager on Mafra to win with both teams scoring could present a viable opportunity given the respective offensive and defensive stats.
Match info
Tournaments:
Liga 3(Regular Season - 17)
Referee:
No information
