Vis Pesaro vs Arezzo Prediction at 16-01-2026

Team Analysis: Vis Pesaro

Vis Pesaro enters this game with a somewhat erratic form, winning 2 of their last 5 matches (2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw). Their recent performances have seen them struggle defensively, allowing 9 goals in those outings while managing to only score 5. Key players such as forward Marco Olivieri have demonstrated flashes of brilliance, netting 4 goals this season, but overall an inconsistent attack will need to find its rhythm against a solid Arezzo defensive line.

On the tactical front, head coach Michele Filippini has recently experimented with a more aggressive 4-3-3 formation, intending to increase pressing in the opponent's half. Whether this strategy materializes against a well-organized Arezzo side remains to be seen.

Team Analysis: Arezzo

Arezzo arrives at this match in notably better form, having secured 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 encounters. Their defense has been rock solid, conceding only 2 goals in that timeframe, while their attacking line has complemented their stability, scoring 8 goals. The standout player for Arezzo has been Sergio Mazzocco, whose creativity and three assists have propelled the team in critical moments.

Under the stewardship of manager Alessandro Dal Canto, Arezzo has successfully deployed a pragmatic 3-5-2 formation, focusing on being compact and threatening on the counterattack. It has yielded significant dividends, and they will be looking to control possession against Pesaro to dictate the game tempo.

Statistical Breakdown and Historical Context

The head-to-head history leans slightly in Arezzo's favor, with the last five meetings resulting in 3 wins for Arezzo, 1 for Vis Pesaro, and 1 draw. Notably, both fixtures last season ended in a draw, suggesting that this matchup could be tightly contested once again.

• Vis Pesaro: Goals Scored: 21, Goals Conceded: 25
• Arezzo: Goals Scored: 25, Goals Conceded: 10

Venue dynamics play a crucial role as well; Vis Pesaro enjoys a home advantage, with a passionate crowd that can inspire their team. However, they must combat any complacency stemming from their home soil. The weather forecast is favorable, with a clear, cool day expected, which could favor the fast-paced play that both teams occasionally prefer.

Key Matchups and External Factors

One of the pivotal battles will be between Vis Pesaro's central defensive pair and Arezzo's dynamic forward duo. If Pesaro can stifle the creative influences of Mazzocco while providing adequate cover for their backline against the likes of Luciano Bianchi, they might find a way to limit Arezzo's attacking effectiveness.

Injuries could play a significant role as well; as of now, Vis Pesaro is expected to field a full-strength squad, while Arezzo remains wary of their aging core as they check the fitness of some pivotal players before the match.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Given the contrasting forms and tactical setups of both teams, I predict a closely fought match that could edge in favor of Arezzo, with a final scoreline of 2-1. They possess the better form and resilience to grind out a crucial away victory. For betting enthusiasts, odds favor Arezzo for a win, with a probability of around 60%. Meanwhile, an over/under of 2.5 goals seems feasible given both teams' recent goal statistics.