AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis: AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC enters this matchup with a mixed bag of results over their last five outings. Their recent form reads as 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. The team's defensive frailties have been evident, conceding 10 goals during these matches. Key player and forward, Juanma, has been a revelation this season, netting 7 goals and assisting in 4, making him a crucial figure in their attacking strategy.

However, Ceuta has struggled to maintain consistency in their backline, often allowing too many easy chances for opponents which has resulted in dropped points. Tactical changes have been hinted, as manager José Juan is likely to adopt a more defensive setup against Valladolid to counter their dynamic attack. If Ceuta can solidify their backline and minimize mistakes, they could experience a resurgence.

Team Analysis: Valladolid

Valladolid arrives at this fixture having found their groove, with a stellar record of 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches. Their latest performance against a fierce rival drew praise for its organized play and clinical finishing, with the team scoring 12 goals compared to only 4 conceded during this span. Star midfielder, Óscar Plano, has been pivotal, contributing both in goals (5) and assists (3), crucially setting up teammates in the final third.

However, Valladolid must address their away performance, having struggled to replicate home dominance on the road. Manager Paulo Pezzolano’s tactical acumen will be tested on how he sets up against a resolute Ceuta side. If they can impose their style early on, it could be a long afternoon for the home team.

Key Matchups and Statistics

• Head-to-Head: Historically, Ceuta and Valladolid have faced off 12 times, with Valladolid holding a slight edge with 5 wins against Ceuta's 4. Their last encounter resulted in a narrow 1-0 victory for Valladolid.
• Goals Scored and Conceded: Ceuta has scored 24 and conceded 30 this season, while Valladolid has been more adept, scoring 31 and conceding 23.
• Home and Away Dynamics: Ceuta has struggled at home with only 2 wins, showcasing vulnerability, while Valladolid boasts a decent away record with 3 wins in such matches.

Contextual Factors

The match takes place at the lively Estadio Alfonso Murube, where the Ceuta fans are known for creating a resounding atmosphere. Any potential weather conditions on the day, such as rain or wind, could significantly influence the fluidity of play, likely benefiting a more physical approach from Ceuta.

Injuries could play a decisive role; as of now, Ceuta is missing their starting left-back due to a knee injury, while Valladolid has the luxury of a relatively clean bill of health, which allows them to field a strong lineup.

Final Prediction

Considering current form, tactical setups, and historical data, the match could be tightly contested. However, Valladolid's recent momentum and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities gives them the upper hand in this encounter. A logical prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for Valladolid. They are expected to exploit Ceuta's defensive vulnerabilities while managing to hold firm against counter-attacks.

Betting Tip: It may be worthwhile to explore betting odds on Valladolid to win and both teams to score, given their attacking prowess and Ceuta's tendency to concede goals. Overall, expect an engaging match that could tilt the balance in the quest for league supremacy.