Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Monarcas Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis: Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Alebrijes de Oaxaca enters this match in solid form, currently enjoying a three-match unbeaten streak. In their last five outings, they have secured two wins, two draws, and only one loss. Notably, they showcased grit in their recent match against Santos Laguna, drawing 1-1, a sign of their rising confidence against formidable opponents.

Strengths for Alebrijes lie in their tactical versatility and solid midfield, where playmaker Lucas Rodríguez has been pivotal, contributing to both assists and defensive stability. However, they struggle with consistency in converting chances into goals, having scored only 12 goals in their last ten league matches.

Team Analysis: Monarcas

Monarcas, on the other hand, arrives with mixed recent results: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. They recently bounced back from a loss to Club América with a 2-1 victory against Atlético San Luis, boosting their morale ahead of this crucial fixture.

Monarcas' attacking threat is spearheaded by Cristian Martínez, whose ability to find the back of the net is unmatched, while their defense has been shaky lately, conceding 15 goals during the same span. Notably, their vulnerability on set pieces could be a target for Alebrijes' set-piece specialist, Oscar Garza, who thrives in dead-ball situations.

Statistical Breakdown

In terms of head-to-head records, the match history leans slightly in favor of Monarcas, who have won 4 of the last 10 encounters, while Alebrijes has secured 3 victories, with 3 games ending in a draw. Both teams will also be aware of the importance of home advantage: Alebrijes has a strong home record, winning 60% of their matches at Estadio Benito Juárez this season.

• Alebrijes de Oaxaca: 16 Goals Scored, 17 Goals Conceded
• Monarcas: 20 Goals Scored, 23 Goals Conceded

Contextual Factors

The match will take place at Estadio Benito Juárez, where the home crowd can significantly impact the players’ performances. Historically, Alebrijes have thrived under the passionate support of their fans, which can lead to more dynamic and aggressive play. Additionally, the weather forecast predicts mild conditions, ideal for fast-paced football. However, both teams will need to contend with a few injuries: Alebrijes' key defender is doubtful due to a muscle strain, while Monarcas is missing their starting goalkeeper due to suspension.

Prediction

Given the analysis, I predict a tightly-contested match to end in favor of Alebrijes de Oaxaca, with a scoreline of 2-1. Their home advantage, combined with stronger recent form, puts them in a better position to capitalize on Monarcas' defensive frailties. Moreover, I suggest considering betting on Alebrijes to score first, along with betting on over 2.5 goals in the match for those looking for greater risks. Expect an action-packed showdown that could keep spectators on the edge of their seats!