Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis

Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard has had a roller-coaster season thus far. In their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. Their recent performance at home has been particularly strong, showcasing a tenacity that has kept them competitive in matches that seemed lost. Key players such as forward Jordy Zurwijn, who leads the team with five goals this season, have become pivotal to their attacking play. However, the team has struggled defensively, conceding 18 goals in 20 matches, exposing a gap that could be exploited by a high-pressure opponent like PSV.

PSV Eindhoven

On the other side, PSV Eindhoven enters the match on a high, having won four of their last five encounters. They currently sit at the top of the Eredivisie with an impressive record, showcasing a potent attacking force led by Luuk de Jong, who has netted 12 goals so far. Their recent victory against arch-rivals Ajax in the KNVB Beker served as a morale booster and emphasized their depth in talent and tactical approach under manager Ruud van Nistelrooy. Yet, despite their attacking prowess, PSV has occasionally shown vulnerabilities, particularly when faced with teams that play deep and counter-attack effectively.

Statistical Overview

• Head-to-Head Record: In their last five meetings, PSV has won four times while Fortuna has managed a single win. The last encounter saw PSV dominate with a 3-1 victory.
• Current Season Performance: Fortuna Sittard stands at 12th with 22 points, while PSV tops the table with 47 points from 21 matches.
• Goals Scored and Conceded: Fortuna has scored 23 goals and conceded 18, whereas PSV boasts an incredible 46 goals scored while conceding only 20.

Contextual Factors

The match will be held at Fortuna's Merckx Stadion, known for its passionate home crowd that can significantly influence the game’s momentum. However, weather conditions are forecasted to be overcast with a mild chance of rain, which could affect the teams' playing styles, particularly Fortuna's preference for swift counter-attacks.

Injury-wise, Fortuna is dealing with a crucial absence as their center-back, Kevin Hofland, is sidelined due to a hamstring injury. In contrast, PSV is largely at full strength, though they will need to be cautious of player fatigue, having had a demanding schedule lately.

Prediction

Given the current form and the contrasting stakes in this match, I predict a solid win for PSV Eindhoven with a scoreline of 3-1. Fortuna will likely put up a strong fight at home but will struggle against the intensity and quality of PSV's attack. Betting enthusiasts might consider backing PSV for a win along with a bet on 'over 2.5 goals' as both teams are inclined towards open play and attacking football.