Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Guidonia Montecelio has shown a mixed bag of results in their recent matches, with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five outings. Their season performance indicators suggest they struggle defensively, having conceded 12 goals in these recent fixtures while scoring just 7. They've looked more formidable at home, where the crowd often acts as the twelfth man, pushing the players to elevate their performance. The presence of key players like their forward, Marco Rossi, who has been pivotal in the attack, will be crucial. His ability to exploit defensive gaps and create scoring opportunities will be a focal point for Guidonia. However, they have to tighten their defensive linkage, led by veteran defender Luca Bianchi, who will need to inspire confidence in his backline.

Livorno

On the other side, Livorno enters this fixture with a more promising recent form, having achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Their recent success can be attributed to their dynamic midfield play and the impressive scoring ability of their standout striker, Daniele Galli, who currently leads the team with 10 goals this season. Livorno has been efficient both at home and on the road, highlighting their adaptability and seasoned squad. Moreover, their record of scoring 15 goals while conceding just 5 in their last five games showcases a strong offensive and defensive setup. They will want to avoid complacency as they aim to secure crucial points as they chase a top-four finish in the league.

Statistical Insights

• Head-to-Head Record: In their last 5 meetings, Livorno has won 3 times, whereas Guidonia has managed 1 win and 1 match ended in a stalemate.
• Season Performance: Guidonia has scored a total of 27 goals but conceded 36, while Livorno boasts 32 goals scored against only 24 goals conceded.
• Home/Away Dynamics: Guidonia has a home advantage with a win rate of 47% at home, compared to Livorno's 55% away performance this season, indicating a compelling challenge for the hosts.

Contextual Factors

Weather conditions on match day are projected to be mild, approximately 14°C, with minimal chances of rain. This favorable environment is likely to facilitate a free-flowing game, allowing both teams to showcase their attacking talents. Injuries could play a critical role, as reports indicate that Guidonia's goalkeeper is dealing with a minor injury, posing a potential risk to their defensive solidity. If he is unable to play, it could tilt the scale in favor of Livorno.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Considering the form, head-to-head history, and context heading into this match, it appears Livorno holds the upper hand. Their consistency in recent performances, coupled with Guidonia's defensive vulnerabilities, leads to a prediction where Livorno might emerge victorious. A likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Livorno, providing them with crucial points to bolster their promotion ambitions. Betting enthusiasts might find value in betting on Livorno to win, while keeping an eye on the over/under options given both teams' scoring capabilities.