Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis

Liverpool: Chasing Glory

Liverpool enters this fixture with a solid recent record, having won four of their last five matches, including a stunning 4-1 victory against Manchester United. Their attacking prowess has been relentless, reflecting a goals-per-game average of 2.4 in their recent league encounters. The dynamic trio of Mohamed Salah, Darwin Núñez, and Luis Díaz has been instrumental in maintaining this form, with Salah contributing 12 goals and 7 assists this season.

On the defensive side, Virgil van Dijk's return from injury has bolstered their backline, although they have conceded 21 goals this season—an area of concern for manager Jürgen Klopp. Liverpool's tactical approach under Klopp has seen them favor a high-pressing game, often suffocating opponents in their half.

Burnley: The Underdogs with Heart

Burnley arrives at Anfield with a recent resurgence, claiming 7 points from the last five league matches, including a crucial 2-1 win over Wolverhampton. Their season has seen them striving to escape the relegation zone, with just 24 goals scored to date, but they’ve managed to tighten their defense, conceding 26 goals. Maxwel Cornet and Ashley Barnes have been pivotal, providing crucial goals, while goalkeeper Nick Pope has been a standout with several exceptional saves.

Manager Vincent Kompany has had to navigate injuries to key players but has instilled a newfound resilience in this squad, focusing on a disciplined defensive structure that looks to frustrate higher-ranked opponents.

Statistical Insights

• Head-to-Head Performance: In the last five encounters, Liverpool has won all but one match, showcasing a dominant 4-1 record against Burnley, who last claimed a points victory in the league in 2020.
• Home/Away Dynamics: Liverpool boasts an impressive home record, particularly at Anfield, where they have only lost once this season. Burnley, meanwhile, has struggled to secure away points and has only garnered 5 from a possible 21.
• Season Performance: Liverpool currently sits third in the table, with ambitions for a title push, while Burnley lingers near the relegation zone at 16th place, making this clash all the more pivotal for both squads.

Contextual Factors

Weather conditions for the match are expected to be overcast with temperatures hovering around 8°C, potentially leading to slick playing conditions that could affect Burnley’s typically physical style of play. Additionally, Liverpool will need to manage their squad depth as the busy fixture schedule persists, but they remain largely injury-free outside of long-term absentees. Burnley, conversely, is facing the potential absence of key midfielder Josh Brownhill, which could hinder their creative processes in the midfield.