Livingston vs ST Mirren Prediction at 17-01-2026

Recent Form and Team Analysis

Livingston comes into this match with a mixed bag of results over their last five fixtures, securing two wins, a draw, and two losses. Their winning moments were highlighted by a convincing victory against Aberdeen, which showcased their resilience and attacking prowess. However, they faltered against Hibernian and Celtic, indicating vulnerabilities in their defensive setup.

• Last 5 Matches: W, L, D, W, L
• Goals Scored: 18 | Goals Conceded: 20

Key players for Livingston include the dynamic forward, Bruce Anderson, who has been pivotal in their attack, contributing significantly to goal creation. Moreover, their midfielder, Jason Holt, is renowned for his tireless work rate and ability to control the game tempo.

Meanwhile, St Mirren has demonstrated more stability lately, managing three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Their recent triumph against Ross County featured an impressive defensive display, leaving little room for mistakes and showcasing their tactical discipline.

• Last 5 Matches: W, L, W, W, L
• Goals Scored: 15 | Goals Conceded: 14

The Saints will rely heavily on their star forwards, including Curtis Main, who has been crucial in front of goal, and midfielder Alex Gogic, known for his ability to snuff out opposition threats. The visitors will also look to exploit Livingston's defenses on the counter-attack, given their recent struggles against quick transitions.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Matchups

Examining the historical context, Livingston and St Mirren have played each other 28 times in the last five years, with both teams achieving 11 wins each, highlighting the tightly contested nature of this rivalry. The last five meetings have resulted in two wins for Livingston and three for St Mirren, indicating a slight edge for the visitors in this match-up.

When analyzing potential game-changers, the focus should be on the individual matchups. Anderson's pace could pose problems for St Mirren’s center-backs, while the defensive capabilities of Gogic will be paramount in containing him and the rest of Livingston's attack. Similarly, the battle in midfield between Holt and St Mirren's Ethan Erhahon will be crucial in determining possession and dictating rhythm.

Contextual Factors: Venue Dynamics and External Elements

The match will be played at the Tony Macaroni Arena, a venue notorious for its passionate home crowd, which can significantly influence the tempo of the match. However, it is worth mentioning that the weather forecast predicts rain on match day, which could lead to a slippery pitch and potentially impact the quality of play by favoring a more defensive and counter-attacking style of football.

Injuries will also play a decisive role in this fixture. Livingston will need to assess the fitness of crucial players, including their first-choice goalkeeper, as any defensive reshuffles could affect their performance against a St Mirren side eager to exploit any weaknesses.

Match Prediction

Given the recent form and the nature of both teams, this match could easily swing either way. Livingston’s home advantage will be an important factor, but St Mirren's current form and tactical organization may give them an edge. Expect a closely contested match with moments of brilliance that could define the tide.

Final Prediction: Livingston 1 - 2 St Mirren. As for betting insights, a close match suggests a possible draw or minimal margin victory. Bet on a low-scoring affair with a focus on both teams scoring as they push for crucial points.