Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis: Strengths and Weaknesses

Lusitano Évora 1911

Lusitano Évora has shown a commendable blend of effort and tactical discipline this season, currently holding a mid-table position. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins, two losses, and one draw, reflecting their ongoing fight for consistency. Notably, they engaged in a competitive bout against higher-ranked Porto, which they narrowly lost, despite showcasing resilience. One of their standout players, João Pedro, has been pivotal, contributing with key goals and assists, while the defensive unit, led by veteran Ricardo Gomes, has displayed moments of brilliance intertwined with lapses that need correction.

Caldas

Caldas, meanwhile, rides into this match on a wave of optimism, boasting an impressive form with four wins and one loss in their last five outings. Their recent victory against Oeiras, where they pounced on defensive errors, speaks volumes of their current attacking potency, spearheaded by the electrifying Mário Silva, who has been converting chances with surgical precision. However, their defense has been occasionally suspect, conceding over 1.5 goals per game in critical matches, which could be advantageous for Lusitano if they exploit this vulnerability.

Statistical Overview

Historically, Lusitano and Caldas have enjoyed a competitive rivalry, with Caldas slightly edging the head-to-head statistics at 3 wins to 2 in their last five encounters. The typical scoreline reflects an average of 2.5 goals per match, indicating a propensity for high-action games. So far this season, Lusitano has scored 22 goals but has also conceded 20, whereas Caldas stands at 26 goals for and 18 against. These stats indicate a competitive offensive capability with defensive frailties that could be exposed in this clash.

Contextual Factors

The game will take place at Lusitano's home ground, where the passionate local support often provides a pivotal advantage. Playing on familiar turf under favorable weather conditions (predicted mild temperatures with no rain) suggests that both teams will be keen to play an attacking style. Agency concerns, like Lusitano's slight injury woes with Anwar Khalil being doubtful, could impact their tactical setup as he is key to their midfield stability. In contrast, Caldas will approach the match with a full squad, providing them a tactical edge.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Considering the current form, statistical trends, and home advantage, I predict a closely contested match ending in favor of Lusitano Évora, with a scoreline of 2-1. While Caldas brings impressive attacking prowess, Lusitano's defense may just hold firm long enough to snag a crucial win. For betting enthusiasts, odds may show strong value on Lusitano at home, and a bet on both teams to score seems plausible given their offensive capabilities.