Mahasarakham United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis

Mahasarakham United has shown mixed form lately, securing only two wins in their last five matches, recording two draws and one loss. This inconsistency can be attributed to their struggle in converting chances into goals, as they have managed to score only 7 times in those outings while conceding 8. Key players like forward Anon Phachara, who has netted 6 goals this season, will be pivotal if they are to capitalize on home advantage.

However, their midfield has occasionally faltered, resulting in a lack of creativity. The recent signing of playmaker Montri Yuthasilp has provided some fresh ideas, but it remains to be seen whether he can break through the resilient defenses of Nong Bua Pitchaya.

Nong Bua Pitchaya, on the other hand, finds themselves in turbulent waters as they hover close to the relegation zone. Their recent form is equally troubling, with only one victory in their last five matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss). With 5 goals scored and 9 conceded in this span, they will need a significant defensive overhaul if they hope to secure a result. Striker Supachai Lertchaleaw, who boasts 4 goals this season, is essential in leading the attack but has struggled to find the net lately.

Coach Ronnarong Srisuk might opt for a more defensive approach, bolstering the backline with the inclusion of experienced defender Anuchit Suppharat to shore up a leaky defense. This change could result in an intriguing battle, pitting Mahasarakham United's attacking intent against Nong Bua Pitchaya's newfound resilience.

Statistical Overview

• Head-to-Head Record: In their last five encounters, Mahasarakham United has triumphed twice, Nong Bua Pitchaya once, and two matches have ended in draws.
• Season Performance: Mahasarakham United has scored a total of 25 goals while conceding 31, reflecting their need for a balanced approach. In contrast, Nong Bua Pitchaya has netted 22 goals but conceded a staggering 33, showcasing their defensive frailties.
• Home/Away Dynamics: Mahasarakham United is statistically stronger at home, with a record of 5 wins against only 2 losses this season. Conversely, Nong Bua Pitchaya's away form has been dismal with only 1 win out of 8 matches.

Contextual Factors

The match will be held at Mahasarakham's home ground, which historically influences performance, bolstered by local support. Weather conditions on match day are projected to be clear, with temperatures around 25°C, allowing for fluid gameplay. However, the teams’ injury lists are a concern: Mahasarakham United will be without their key defender, Phuttharaksa Pierre, due to a recent ankle injury, while Nong Bua Pitchaya is missing winger Chayut Chaiwong for the same reason. These absences will undoubtedly affect the tactical setup of both teams.

Match Prediction

Considering the form, head-to-head records, and contextual factors, this match promises to be a tightly contested affair. Mahasarakham United may hold the advantage at home, but Nong Bua Pitchaya’s desperation to secure survival points could drive them to perform beyond expectations. With both teams displaying weaknesses, I predict a 2-1 victory for Mahasarakham United. The predicted scoreline reflects their stronger home record, coupled with the attacking prowess of Anon Phachara. Betting enthusiasts might find value in a wager on Mahasarakham securing victory with both teams to score, given the proven vulnerabilities in defense for both sides.