Mazatlán vs Monterrey Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis

Mazatlán's Recent Form

Mazatlán has shown flashes of brilliance lately, with a mixed bag of results in their last five matches — winning two, drawing one, and losing two. Their standout performance was a stunning 3-1 victory against Tigres, showcasing the attacking talents of Camilo Sanvezzo, who has scored five goals this season. However, defensively, they have been inconsistent, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game recently, which could be a potential point of vulnerability.

Monterrey's Recent Form

In contrast, Monterrey is on a roll, boasting a solid recent record with four wins and a solitary loss in their last five outings. Their most impressive display came in a commanding 4-0 defeat of Santos Laguna, where Rogelio Funes Mori netted a hat-trick. With a formidable attacking lineup, Monterrey has scored 15 goals in their last five matches while conceding only 3, indicating both their offensive firepower and defensive solidity.

Key Statistics

• Head-to-Head: In their last 10 encounters, Monterrey leads with 6 wins to Mazatlán's 2, with 2 matches ending in draws.
• Goals Scored: Mazatlán has tallied 24 goals so far this season; however, they have also conceded 32. Monterrey, on the other hand, has scored 33 and only conceded 14.
• Last 5 Matches:
  • Mazatlán: W-L-D-L-W
  • Monterrey: W-W-W-W-L

Contextual Factors

This match will take place at Estadio Mazatlán, known for its challenging atmospheric conditions, as the coastal humidity can impact player endurance and tactical execution. Moreover, the local crowd is known for boosting home team morale, which may provide Mazatlán an extra edge they desperately need against a formidable opponent.

Injuries could also play a pivotal role; Mazatlán may be without their key midfielder Fernando Aristeguieta, rumored to be sidelined, which would diminish their creativity in the midfield. Monterrey, conversely, has a full-strength squad, allowing them to maintain tactical flexibility.

Match Prediction

Considering the form, statistical advantages, and external factors, it's logical to foresee Monterrey as the favorites in this matchup. Their potent attack against Mazatlán’s vulnerable defense suggests a high-scoring affair, possibly favoring the visitors. A predicted scoreline of Monterrey 3 - 1 Mazatlán seems reasonable, with Funes Mori likely to find the back of the net again.

For those considering betting, with Monterrey likely to dominate possession and create more chances, a bet on a Monterrey win with a margin of one goal or more might be worth considering, especially given their current form and head-to-head advantage.