NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis

NAC Breda have demonstrated competitive spirit this season, showcasing resilience and strategic prowess but are plagued by inconsistencies. In their last five matches, they recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss, suggesting a slight upward trend. Their recent successes came against mid-table teams, but they struggled against top-tier opponents, revealing vulnerabilities particularly in defense. Key players like striker Jordy Bruijn have been pivotal, contributing crucial goals, while midfielder Mike Trésor orchestrates play and can exploit gaps in the opposition's defenses.

On the other hand, NEC Nijmegen has been in fine form, accumulating 4 wins and a solitary defeat in their last five outings. Their recent victories have been characterized by dynamic offensive displays, with the attacking duo of Mario Wijnaldum and David Okereke leading the charge, both contributing significantly to their impressive goal tally. Defensively, NEC has shown improved organization, although lapses do occur, especially when faced with fast-paced counter-attacks.

Statistics and Head-to-Head Records

The historical head-to-head record indicates a competitive rivalry, with NAC Breda slightly edging out NEC Nijmegen in previous meetings, recording 12 wins to NEC's 10 over the last 25 encounters. The last match saw NAC take a narrow 1-0 victory at home, bolstering their confidence. This season, NAC has scored a commendable 28 goals while conceding 24, revealing an offensive strength but defensive weaknesses. NEC, conversely, has found the net 30 times but has leaked 22 goals, highlighting a balanced approach between attack and defense.

Contextual Factors

The match will take place at NAC Breda's home ground, Rat Verlegh Stadion, where the crowd is known to create an intimidating atmosphere for away teams. With fans eager to support their side, the home advantage will be significant. However, weather conditions, which are predicted to be overcast with a chance of rain, may impact play style, favoring NEC's tactical flexibility. Injuries could play a crucial role; both teams are coping with a few absences, but it is NAC's midfield depth, especially with potential injuries to key players, that could sway the match in NEC's favor.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Given the current form of both teams and their respective strengths and weaknesses, I predict a closely contested match that may end in a draw, with a potential scoreline of 2-2. Both teams have shown resilience in attack, but defensive frailties could lead to opportunities for each side. Betting enthusiasts might prefer betting on both teams to score, given the offensive capabilities on display. Statistically, a draw is achievable with a probability assessment around 35%, while NAC may be seen to have a slim edge at home with around 30% probability of victory.