Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis

Pogradeci: Pogradeci enters this match with a recent form showing some positive momentum, having secured 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five outings. Their strengths lie in a disciplined defense and a formidable midfield that controls the tempo of the game. Notable players such as midfielder Arben Hoxha have been critical in orchestrating plays, while striker Egzon Hyseni has found his form in front of goal, contributing significantly to their scoring tally. However, their vulnerability appears in set-piece situations, where they have conceded pivotal goals this season.

Besa Kavajë: On the other side, Besa Kavajë has been stringing together a mixed run of results with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. They showcase an explosive attacking unit led by the dynamic forward, Selim Shkëmbi, whose speed and skill have tormented defenses throughout the league. That said, their defensive frailties have come to light, particularly when facing agile counter-attacks, which Pogradeci could exploit. Despite these weaknesses, the visitors are buoyed by recent tactical adjustments aiming to solidify their backline while maintaining their attacking presence.

Statistical Overview

• Head-to-Head: Historically, Pogradeci has had the upper hand in their encounters, winning 4 out of the last 6 matches against Besa Kavajë, with just 1 draw and 1 loss.
• Goals: Pogradeci has scored a total of 18 goals this season but has also conceded 15, highlighting their balanced but occasionally porous defense. In contrast, Besa Kavajë has scored 20 goals while conceding 18, illustrating their aggressive yet vulnerable playing style.
• Home/Away Dynamics: Pogradeci’s home advantage could be significant, as they typically perform better at home, especially in front of a supportive crowd, registering a 70% win rate at their ground this season.

Contextual Factors

Weather conditions leading up to this match are forecasted to be clear with mild temperatures—a potential advantage for the aggressive playing style of Besa Kavajë. However, Pogradeci's reliance on their home crowd might counterbalance any slight weather impacts. Additionally, injuries will play a crucial role, with Pogradeci potentially missing key defender Luan Keca due to a lingering ankle injury, which could disrupt their defensive cohesion. Conversely, Besa Kavajë expects to have their full squad available, which bodes well for them.

Prediction and Insights

Taking into account the recent form, historical context, and potential line-up implications, a closely contested match is anticipated. Pogradeci's home advantage and tactical discipline suggest they will edge the contest, likely winning by a narrow margin. I predict a final scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Pogradeci. For betting enthusiasts, considering a "Both Teams to Score" option at favorable odds may be wise, given both teams' propensity for goals mixed with their defensive lapses.