Trento vs Novara Prediction at 17-01-2026

Team Analysis

Trento

Trento enters this game in a precarious position, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Their recent performances have been inconsistent, often reflecting a lack of cohesion between their midfield and attacking lines. Key players like forward Luca Rizzo have shown flashes of brilliance, netting vital goals, but the team often struggles to maintain pressure throughout 90 minutes. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.5 goals per match, highlighting a need for stronger organization at the back.

Novara

On the other side, Novara has managed to find some rhythm with 3 wins and 2 losses in their recent outings. Their attack is spearheaded by the dynamic winger Samuele De Luca, whose creative flair could be pivotal in breaking down Trento's defense. Novara's midfield, led by experienced playmaker Marco Rossetti, has been effective in controlling the tempo and creating scoring opportunities. However, their defense has shown vulnerability, conceding several late goals that could affect their morale heading into this match.

Statistical Insight

• Head-to-Head: The last five encounters between Trento and Novara have seen Novara edge out Trento with 3 wins, while Trento has managed only 1 win, with 1 match ending in a draw.
• Season Performance: Trento has scored 15 goals in their 15 matches this season, with 22 goals conceded. In contrast, Novara has netted 20 goals while conceding 18 during the same stretch.
• Home/Away Dynamics: Trento performs reasonably well at home, boasting a 40% win rate, while Novara struggles a bit in away fixtures, with only a 33% success rate on the road.

Contextual Factors

This match will take place at Trento's home ground, which historically favors them, as local support can be a powerful motivator. However, the weather forecast predicts rain on match day, which could lead to a muddy pitch and affect play styles, possibly favoring a more physical and direct approach over finesse. In terms of injuries, Trento will miss key defender Roberto Mancini, whose absence could further exacerbate their defensive frailties.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Considering the current form, head-to-head stats, and the context surrounding both teams, the match could lean slightly in favor of Novara, who appear to have a more balanced squad and positive momentum. I predict a scoreline of Trento 1 - 2 Novara. For betting enthusiasts, placing a bet on Novara to win may have favorable odds, especially as they look to continue their push for a playoff spot. In addition, a wager on over 2.5 total goals could be a prudent choice, given both teams' tendency to concede goals and seek a win.