Bologna vs Fiorentina Prediction at 18-01-2026

Team Analysis: Bologna

Bologna have shown flashes of brilliance throughout the campaign. Currently holding a record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses in their last 17 matches, their form has been a mixed bag lately. In their last five fixtures, Bologna secured two wins and three losses, indicating a side that struggles for consistency. Key players such as Marko Arnautović and Riccardo Orsolini have been instrumental in their attack, combining for nine goals and five assists this season.

However, Bologna's defense has proven to be their Achilles' heel, conceding 32 goals thus far. Their weaknesses lie in set-piece situations and lack of pace at the back, making them vulnerable against teams with quick forwards. Under the tactical leadership of coach Thiago Motta, there have been recent adjustments, including a shift to a more aggressive pressing style that could benefit their counter-attacks.

Team Analysis: Fiorentina

Fiorentina come into this clash boasting a commendable record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses. Recent form showcases their robustness with three wins in their last five matches, firming their place among the Serie A contenders. The standout player for the Viola has undoubtedly been Nicolás González, who has racked up 10 goals and 4 assists - his creativity and finishing ability will be crucial in breaking down Bologna's defense.

Fiorentina's defensive solidity, backed by a well-organized backline led by German Pezzella and goalkeeper Pietro Terracciano, has seen them concede only 24 goals this season. Their speed on the wings and dynamic midfield play often create opportunities, making them a challenging matchup for most teams. Coach Vincenzo Italiano’s emphasis on swift transitions and ball recovery will be pivotal in this away fixture.

Statistical Insights

Historically, this fixture has seen Fiorentina hold a slight edge with 26 wins to Bologna’s 22 in their 60 previous encounters. Their most recent meeting ended in a 3-2 victory for Fiorentina, highlighting how closely matched these teams can be. This season, Bologna has scored 30 goals while conceding 32, whereas Fiorentina has netted 34 times and allowed 24 goals. Home advantage can play a significant factor, with Bologna seeking to leverage the passion of their fans at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Contextual Factors

The weather on match day is expected to be relatively mild for January in Bologna, with temperatures around 10°C, which should not drastically impact gameplay. However, both teams must be wary of potential injury concerns. Bologna’s midfield dynamo, Jerdy Schouten, may be a doubt, while Fiorentina is expected to assess the fitness of their key defensive player, Lucas Martínez Quarta.

Prediction

Taking into account Bologna's home advantage, recent form, and tactical shifts, this clash is poised to be a closely contested affair. However, Fiorentina's current form and player quality might give them the edge. Expect a thrilling match that could easily end in a draw, but I believe Fiorentina will narrowly clinch a victory.

Final Score Prediction: Bologna 1 - 2 Fiorentina

From a betting perspective, odds suggest that a Fiorentina win appears reasonable, while the total goals market could also see action above 2.5 given both teams' scoring capabilities. This encounter promises entertainment, and as always, the unpredictable nature of Serie A ensures that anything can happen on the day.