Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani Prediction at 18-01-2026

Team Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Egnatia Rrogozhinë enters this match with a commendable run of form, including a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last five games. With a potent offense scoring a total of 18 goals this season, they have shown their capability to challenge even the toughest defenses. Dominant forward Andi Lila, who has netted 8 goals this season, will be a critical player to watch, as he possesses the rare combination of pace and precision.

However, the team must address their defensive weaknesses, having conceded 15 goals in their last 12 matches, highlighting inconsistencies that could be exploited by the attacking prowess of Elbasani. The midfield will also play a vital role in controlling the pace of the game, particularly the contributions from Arben Shkëmbi, whose playmaking abilities could be the key to unlocking Elbasani's defense.

AF Elbasani

AF Elbasani, on the other hand, is coming off a mixed bag of form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five outings. Despite a rocky start to the season, their last match, a commanding 3-1 victory over a lower-tier team, has rejuvenated morale in the locker room. They boast a solid defensive setup, allowing only 12 goals this season. Key players such as Petrit Hoxha, who has emerged as a defensive stalwart, will need to showcase resilience against the attacking onslaught posed by Egnatia.

Elbasani's success largely hinges on the foot of their striker Klevis Baze, who has been their talisman this season with 9 goals. His ability to find the net frequently and create spaces for fellow attackers will be instrumental for Elbasani as they aim to capitalize on any defensive lapses offered by Egnatia.

Statistical Insights

• Head-to-Head Record: In their last five encounters, Egnatia Rrogozhinë has won 2, while Elbasani has managed 1 win, and 2 matches ended in draws.
• Season Metrics: Egnatia Rrogozhinë has scored a total of 32 goals this season with a goal difference of +5, while AF Elbasani has accumulated 25 goals, with a goal difference of +3.
• Home Advantage: Egnatia's home performance has been their stronghold, with 4 wins out of 6 matches at their ground this season, whereas Elbasani has been less effective on the road with only 2 wins out of 6 away games.

Contextual Factors

As the teams prepare to take the pitch, the weather conditions are expected to be chilly but clear, potentially favoring a high-paced game. Egnatia will enjoy the home crowd advantage, known for their passionate support that can inspire players to heights beyond their usual limits.

In terms of injuries, both sides are relatively fit, but any late fitness tests could change team selections. Currently, it seems both camps have no significant absences that could sway the result dramatically.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Considering Egnatia's strong home form and kinetic offensive style, along with the supportive atmosphere from their fans, they are slightly favored to clinch a narrow victory. However, Elbasani’s solid defense could turn this match into a riveting stalemate.

Final Prediction: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 - 1 AF Elbasani. This prediction reflects Egnatia’s current momentum and home form, supplemented by their capacity to control the midfield and capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Betting Tip: A wager on Egnatia to win at odds of +130 may present value given their home advantage, while considering an additional bet on both teams to score offers a compelling risk for those seeking higher odds.