Parma vs Genoa Prediction at 18-01-2026

Team Analysis: Parma

Parma enters this contest after a rollercoaster few weeks, having accumulated 8 points in their last five matches (2 wins, 2 losses, 1 draw). Their recent performance has highlighted their attacking prowess but also exposed defensive frailties. Star striker Gervinho remains a focal point, having scored 7 goals this season, while the midfield is anchored by Juraj Kucka, who has been instrumental in transitioning play. Defensively, however, they've conceded 11 goals in the same span, indicating a vulnerability that Genoa will surely aim to exploit.

Team Analysis: Genoa

Genoa, on the other hand, emerges from their recent fixtures with a slightly better form, tallying 10 points (3 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw) over their last five outings. The team is spearheaded by the dynamic forward Mattia Destro, who has been in fine form, netting crucial goals and showcasing his ability to create opportunities. The midfield, led by creative playmaker Hernani, provides balance, but they too face challenges in defense, where they have conceded 9 goals recently. Genoa's resilience will be tested against a technically adept Parma side.

Statistical Insights

• Head-to-head: In their last 10 meetings, Parma has a slight edge with 4 wins over Genoa's 3, alongside 3 draws.
• Home vs. Away: Parma has been formidable at home, boasting a win rate of 60% this season, whereas Genoa’s away record stands at a modest 30%.
• Goals: Parma has scored 24 goals but has conceded 32, while Genoa's record stands at 22 scored and 27 conceded this season.

Contextual Factors

The Stadio Ennio Tardini will be buzzing with Parma's home crowd, which often plays a critical role in motivating the players. The venue itself has proven to be a fortress for Parma, especially in matches against mid-table rivals. Additionally, the players' fitness will be pivotal; Parma is currently managing injuries, especially in their defensive line, which could impact their performance against a high-paced Genoa attack. Weather forecasts predict mild weather conditions, allowing both teams to showcase their preferred styles without weather-related hindrances.

Prediction

As the stakes rise for both camps, the match is set to be a tactical battle, with each side attempting to establish control early. Expect Parma to leverage their home advantage, while Genoa will rely on counter-attacking opportunities. In a contest likely to see abundant action in the final third, I predict a 2-1 victory for Parma. This outcome considers their home performance and the high-pressure environment, which tends to amplify excellence at critical junctures. Additionally, a betting tip would be to consider Parma's run on the over 2.5 goals market, given the attacking talents on both rosters.