Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction at 21-02-2026

Team Analysis

Chesham United enters this match looking to improve upon their recent performances, having recorded a mixed bag in their last five matches, with 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw. Their attack has been bolstered by the impressive form of forward Luke Allen, who has netted five goals in the past month, marking him as a vital player to watch. Defensively, however, they have struggled at times, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in their recent outings, which will need addressing if they are to keep Ebbsfleet’s potent attack at bay. Notable injuries include key center-back Michael Sweeney, whose absence has weakened their defensive line.

Ebbsfleet United, on the other hand, come into this fixture brimming with confidence after a streak of three consecutive wins, highlighted by a dominant performance against Bath City, where they won 3-0. Their attacking trio—comprised of Jordan Brown, Sam McMullen, and the ever-reliable Harry O’Connor—has been in scintillating form, combining for a total of 15 goals this season. They possess a solid midfield and robust defense, which has limited opponents to only 1 goal in their last three matches. The only concern for Ebbsfleet could be the fatigue that comes with a tight schedule, having played two intense games in quick succession.

Statistical Outlook

In terms of head-to-head records, Ebbsfleet has had the upper hand in recent encounters, winning 3 out of the last 5 meetings. However, Chesham will take some solace from their previous close contest, which ended in a narrow 1-2 defeat at home last season. When assessing team performance this season, Chesham has scored an average of 1.5 goals per game, while Ebbsfleet boasts a healthier 2.1 goals per game ratio. Defensively, Chesham has conceded 35 goals this season, compared to Ebbsfleet's 24, indicating a stark contrast in defensive solidity.

External Factors & Match Conditions

The match will be held at Chesham’s home ground, The Meadow, which typically offers a significant advantage to the home side due to familiar conditions and supportive crowds. The weather forecast predicts mild temperatures but potential rain, which could affect ball control and passing accuracy, favoring a more physical, direct style of play. Additionally, if Chesham can utilize their home crowd to amplify their efforts, they could generate the necessary momentum to combat Ebbsfleet’s attacking prowess.

Prediction

While both teams have their strengths, the overall momentum and form point towards an exciting yet closely contested match. Ebbsfleet’s attacking threat, combined with a relatively solid defense, gives them the edge in this fixture. Thus, I predict a scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Ebbsfleet United. Betting enthusiasts might consider looking at the 'Both Teams to Score' option, which stands at a solid probability given both teams’ attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities. As the action unfolds, expect a game that highlights the urgency and competitiveness of the National League South, setting the stage for a memorable February afternoon.