Alaves vs Girona Prediction at 23-02-2026

Team Analysis

Deportivo Alaves

Alaves has shown resilience in their recent outings, amassing a record of 3 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw over their last five matches. Their attacks are spearheaded by the pacey winger, Luis Rioja, whose ability to stretch defenses has been crucial. Defensively, however, they have conceded 10 goals in the last five games, spotlighting vulnerabilities that could be exploited by Girona's forwards.

Girona FC

Girona's form has mirrored that of their opponents, with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five fixtures. Catalan forward Rodrigo Riquelme has emerged as a key player, contributing both goals and assists. Their attacking prowess has been impressive, scoring 12 goals in this same time frame. Nevertheless, the defense remains susceptible, having conceded 8 goals, suggesting a possible shootout scenario against Alaves.

Statistical Breakdown

• Head-to-Head: In their last six meetings, Girona has managed 3 wins compared to Alaves's 2, demonstrating a slight edge in recent encounters.
• Season Performance: Alaves has averaged 1.4 goals per match while conceding approximately 1.6; Girona, in contrast, has scored 1.8 goals per match and conceded 1.2.
• Venue Dynamics: Playing at home, Alaves has secured points more consistently than on the road, which may lend them a vital advantage with the home crowd behind them.

Contextual Factors

Weather conditions forecasted for the match day include mild temperatures with a chance of light rain, which could impact the style of play, favoring teams that are adaptable to slick conditions. In addition, injuries could play a pivotal role; Alaves may miss their influential midfielder in this clash, which could disrupt their midfield structure.

Prediction

Taking all factors into account, this match promises to be an exciting encounter. While both teams possess attacking flair, the home advantage may tip the scales slightly in Alaves's favor. I predict a closely contested match ending in a 2-1 victory for Deportivo Alaves. Expect Girona to apply relentless pressure, but ultimately, the home side will find a way to leverage their crowd support and create decisive moments that will see them through.

Betting Insight: With both teams likely to score, betting on both teams to score alongside a narrow victory for Alaves presents a high-value opportunity. Keep an eye on the over/under betting markets as well, as this match could well exceed two goals given the attacking talent on display.