Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — 25-04-2026

Match Analysis

Heading into this fixture, our statistical model projects a final score of Benfica 2-0 Moreirense based on recent results, expected goals data and head-to-head history. The win-probability split breaks down as 46% for Benfica, 37% for the draw and 17% for Moreirense, making Benfica the clear favourite to take all three points in this encounter. Benfica have collected 2 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 2 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 8 and conceding 5 goal(s) overall. Moreirense have collected 2 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 2 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 5 and conceding 3 goal(s) overall. These numbers should be read alongside any team news, weather conditions and motivation factors that might influence the outcome on the day.

Benfica — Recent Form

• Benfica away to Sporting Lisbon — lost the match 1-2 (result: L).
• Benfica at home against Nacional — won the match 2-0 (result: W).
• Benfica away to Casa Pia Atletico — drew the match 1-1 (result: D).
• Benfica at home against Guimaraes — won the match 3-0 (result: W).
• Benfica away to Arouca — lost the match 1-2 (result: L).

Moreirense — Recent Form

• Moreirense at home against Estoril — won the match 1-0 (result: W).
• Moreirense away to Famalicao — drew the match 1-1 (result: D).
• Moreirense at home against Braga — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).
• Moreirense at home against Arouca — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).
• Moreirense away to FC Porto — won the match 3-0 (result: W).

Prediction

Predicted score: Benfica 2-0 Moreirense.

Win probabilities: Home 46% / Draw 37% / Away 17%.

Medium Stake on Home Win 2-0