Tondela vs Nacional Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — 25-04-2026

Match Analysis

Heading into this fixture, our statistical model projects a final score of Tondela 0-1 Nacional based on recent results, expected goals data and head-to-head history. The win-probability split breaks down as 22% for Tondela, 29% for the draw and 49% for Nacional, making Nacional the clear favourite to take all three points in this encounter. Tondela have collected 2 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 9 and conceding 3 goal(s) overall. Nacional have collected 4 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 6 and conceding 1 goal(s) overall. These numbers should be read alongside any team news, weather conditions and motivation factors that might influence the outcome on the day.

Tondela — Recent Form

• Tondela away to FC Porto — won the match 2-0 (result: W).
• Tondela at home against Gil Vicente — drew the match 2-2 (result: D).
• Tondela away to Guimaraes — won the match 5-0 (result: W).
• Tondela at home against Avs Futebol SAD — drew the match 0-0 (result: D).
• Tondela at home against Rio Ave — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).

Nacional — Recent Form

• Nacional at home against Alverca — won the match 1-0 (result: W).
• Nacional away to Benfica — won the match 2-0 (result: W).
• Nacional at home against Estrela Amadora — won the match 2-0 (result: W).
• Nacional away to Famalicao — won the match 1-0 (result: W).
• Nacional at home against Estoril — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).

Prediction

Predicted score: Tondela 0-1 Nacional.

Win probabilities: Home 22% / Draw 29% / Away 49%.

Large Stake on Away Win 0-1