Empoli vs Modena Prediction at 31-01-2026

Team Analysis

Empoli

Empoli have shown a decent spark recently, finding rhythm in their gameplay. With a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches, they currently sit around mid-table but have the potential to push for promotion. Key players like forward Mattia Destro, who has netted 8 goals this season, and central midfielder Samuele Ricci, known for his creativity, are likely to be instrumental in unlocking Modena's defense. However, defensive frailties remain a concern, with 24 goals conceded thus far, making clean sheets a vanishing commodity.

Modena

Modena, on the other hand, have struggled with consistency, winning only 1 of their last five games, with 2 draws and 2 losses. Their form has left them hovering perilously close to the relegation zone, and they will need a major turnaround in performance to salvage their season. Talented forward Gianluca Scamacca will be the player to watch for Modena, capable of turning a match on its head with his physical presence and finishing ability. Nevertheless, Modena's defensive lineup has faced issues, conceding 29 goals this season, a stat that highlights their vulnerability at the back.

Key Matchups and Tactical Insights

This match will feature an intriguing battle between Empoli's attacking prowess and Modena's defensive shortcomings. The creativity of Ricci in midfield will be crucial, as he seeks to link up with Destro and exploit any gaps in Modena's backline. On the opposing side, Scamacca's ability to contest aerial balls and exploit set-pieces could pose significant threats to Empoli's defense.

Historically, the head-to-head results favor Empoli, who have won 5 of their last 10 encounters against Modena. Their last outing earlier in the season ended in a convincing 3-1 victory for Empoli, emphasizing their tactical superiority in these clashes. One statistic that stands out is their home form; Empoli have been particularly strong at the Stadio Carlo Castellani, securing 4 wins from 7 matches this season.

Contextual Factors

As the match day approaches, several external factors may influence the outcome. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, which typically favors an open and attacking style of play. Additionally, injury reports indicate that Empoli will be without their starting defender, Luca Vignali, which could impact how they organize defensively. For Modena, the returning Scamacca from injury can provide a critical boost to their attacking options.

Match Prediction

Given the recent form, home advantage, and key player performances, I predict that Empoli will win this match 2-1. They have displayed resilience and attacking intent at home, while Modena's struggles have been highlighted both in their lack of form and defensive issues. For those interested in betting, Empoli to win with both teams to score could present a viable option, reflecting both teams' current abilities to find the back of the net. Expect an entertaining encounter with end-to-end action and flair.