Virtus Entella vs Frosinone Prediction at 31-01-2026

Virtus Entella

Currently sitting in the lower-mid table, Virtus Entella has faced substantial challenges this season, with a recent form that has seen them yield only 1 victory in the last 5 matches (1W, 2D, 2L). Their defensive structure, often criticized, has conceded 12 goals during this stretch, indicating a lack of stability at the back. However, the team has shown occasional brilliance, notably in their narrow defeat to league leaders that highlighted their potential when playing against stronger opposition.

• Strengths: The midfield trio has shown creativity, particularly through the playmaking skills of Andrea De Marco, who leads the team in assists.
• Weaknesses: A vulnerable defense, particularly through set-pieces and counter-attacks, continues to be their Achilles heel.

Frosinone

Frosinone, on the other hand, is riding high with a recent 3-match unbeaten streak (2W, 1D) and finding themselves in contention for the playoff positions. They have scored an impressive average of 2 goals per game over their last 5 matches while conceding only 5. The attacking duo of Matteo Ciofani and Gianluca Scamacca has proven to be lethal, working in tandem to create and convert chances, which will be crucial on the road.

• Strengths: Solid attacking depth and an organized defensive line capable of absorbing pressure and striking on the counter.
• Weaknesses: Occasional complacency when leading, which can lead to dropped points.

Key Matchups and Statistical Insights

The encounters between these two teams have historically leaned away from draws, with Frosinone holding a slight edge, winning 4 of their last 6 matchups against Virtus Entella. The most recent clash saw Frosinone trounce Entella 3-1, a statistic that will loom large as they prepare for this fixture.

In terms of season performance, Frosinone's expected goals (xG) metric ranks among the top in the league, whereas Virtus Entella sits below average – a stark contrast that could influence the outcome significantly. In home games, Virtus Entella struggles to maintain dominance, with a home win rate below 40%, further exacerbating their challenge against a formidable away side like Frosinone.

Contextual Factors

Weather forecasts predict a chilly afternoon in Chiavari with potential light rain, which could affect ball movement and playing conditions. Both teams will need to adapt their style accordingly; while Frosinone may thrive with their quick play, Entella should emphasize maintaining possession to mitigate counter-attacking threats. As for injuries, Entella's center-back Matteo Luppi is doubtful, which would severely impact their defensive setup if he fails to recover.