Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 10-05-2026

Match Analysis

Heading into this fixture, our statistical model projects a final score of Burnley 0-1 Aston Villa based on recent results, expected finishes data and head-to-head history. The win-probability split breaks down as 22% for Burnley, 29% for the draw and 49% for Aston Villa, making Aston Villa the clear favourite to take all three points in this encounter. Burnley have collected 3 win(s), a total of 0 draw(s) and two loss(es) in their last five fixtures, scoring 10 and conceding 6 goal(s) overall. Aston Villa have collected 3 win(s), a total of 1 draw(s) and one loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 9 and conceding a total of 6 goal(s) overall. These numbers should be read alongside any team news, weather conditions and motivation factors that might influence the outcome on the day.

Burnley — Recent Form

• Burnley away to Leeds — secured a victory the clash 3-1 (result: W).
• Burnley at home against Man City — suffered a defeat the fixture 0-1 (result: L).
• Burnley away to Nottingham Forest — triumphed the match 4-1 (result: W).
• Burnley at home against Brighton — lost the fixture 0-2 (result: L).
• Burnley away to Fulham — won the match 3-1 (result: W).

Aston Villa — Recent Form

• Aston Villa at home against Tottenham — lost the match 1-2 (result: L).
• Aston Villa away to Fulham — secured a victory the clash 1-0 (result: W).
• Aston Villa at home against Sunderland — claimed a win the match 4-3 (result: W).
• Aston Villa away to Nottingham Forest — drew the match 1-1 (result: D).
• Aston Villa at home against West Ham — secured a victory the match 2-0 (result: W).

Prediction

Predicted score: Burnley 0-1 Aston Villa.

Win probabilities: Home 22% / Draw 29% / Away 49%.

Large Stake on Away Win 0-1