FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 10-05-2026

Match Analysis

Heading into this fixture, our statistical model projects a final score of FSV Mainz 05 2-0 Union Berlin based on recent results, expected strikes data and head-to-head history. The win-probability split breaks down as 56% for FSV Mainz 05, 30% for the draw and 14% for Union Berlin, making FSV Mainz 05 the clear favourite to take all three points in this encounter. FSV Mainz 05 have collected 0 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 4 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 6 and conceding 10 goal(s) overall. Union Berlin have collected 2 win(s), two draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 8 and conceding five goal(s) overall. These numbers should be read alongside any team news, weather conditions and motivation factors that might influence the outcome on the day.

FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

• FSV Mainz 05 away to St Pauli — suffered a defeat the encounter 1-2 (result: L).
• FSV Mainz 05 at home against Bayern Munich — lost the contest 3-4 (result: L).
• FSV Mainz 05 away to Borussia Monchengladbach — drew the match 1-1 (result: D).
• FSV Mainz 05 at home against Freiburg — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).
• FSV Mainz 05 away to Hoffenheim — lost the clash 1-2 (result: L).

Union Berlin — Recent Form

• Union Berlin at home against FC Koln — drew the match 0-0 (result: D).
• Union Berlin away to RB Leipzig — claimed a win the match 3-1 (result: W).
• Union Berlin at home against Wolfsburg — lost the match 1-2 (result: L).
• Union Berlin away to FC Heidenheim — won the match 3-1 (result: W).
• Union Berlin at home against St Pauli — shared the spoils the encounter 1-1 (result: D).

Prediction

Predicted score: FSV Mainz 05 2-0 Union Berlin.

Win probabilities: Home 56% / Draw 30% / Away 14%.

Large Stake on Home Win 2-0