Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-05-2026

Match Analysis

Heading into this fixture, our statistical model projects a final score of Guimaraes 3-0 Casa Pia based on recent results, expected goals data and head-to-head history. The win-probability split breaks down as 58% for Guimaraes, 26% for the draw and 16% for Casa Pia, making Guimaraes the clear favourite to take all three points in this encounter. Guimaraes have collected 3 win(s), 1 draw(s) and one loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 13 and conceding three goal(s) overall. Casa Pia have collected two win(s), 1 draw(s) and 2 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 5 and conceding 4 goal(s) overall. These numbers should be read alongside any squad news, weather conditions and motivation factors that might influence the outcome on the day.

Guimaraes — Recent Form

• Guimaraes away to Sporting Lisbon — won the match 5-1 (result: W).
• Guimaraes at home against Rio Ave — won the encounter 2-0 (result: W).
• Guimaraes away to Gil Vicente — fell short the match 0-1 (result: L).
• Guimaraes away to Avs Futebol SAD — drew the match 1-1 (result: D).
• Guimaraes at home against Tondela — won the contest 5-0 (result: W).

Casa Pia — Recent Form

• Casa Pia at home against Tondela — were beaten the game 0-1 (result: L).
• Casa Pia away to Gil Vicente — won the encounter 2-1 (result: W).
• Casa Pia at home against Braga — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).
• Casa Pia at home against Santa Clara — played out a draw the match 0-0 (result: D).
• Casa Pia away to Alverca — won the game 3-1 (result: W).

Prediction

Predicted score: Guimaraes 3-0 Casa Pia.

Win probabilities: Home 58% / Draw 26% / Away 16%.

Large Stake on Home Win 3-0