Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-05-2026

Match Analysis

Heading into this fixture, our statistical model projects a final score of Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Girona based on recent results, expected goals data and head-to-head history. The win-probability split breaks down as 68% for Rayo Vallecano, 24% for the draw and 8% for Girona, making Rayo Vallecano the clear favourite to take all three points in this encounter. Rayo Vallecano have collected 3 win(s), 1 draw(s) and one loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 8 and conceding five goal(s) overall. Girona have collected 2 win(s), 1 draw(s) and two loss(es) in their last five fixtures, scoring 6 and conceding six goal(s) overall. These numbers should be read alongside any outfit news, weather conditions and motivation factors that might influence the outcome on the day.

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

• Rayo Vallecano away to Getafe — lost the contest 0-2 (result: L).
• Rayo Vallecano at home against Real Sociedad — played out a draw the match 3-3 (result: D).
• Rayo Vallecano at home against Espanyol — claimed a win the match 1-0 (result: W).
• Rayo Vallecano away to Mallorca — won the match 3-0 (result: W).
• Rayo Vallecano at home against Elche — won the match 1-0 (result: W).

Girona — Recent Form

• Girona at home against Mallorca — went down the game 0-1 (result: L).
• Girona away to Valencia — secured a victory the match 2-1 (result: W).
• Girona at home against Real Betis — were overcome the match 2-3 (result: L).
• Girona away to Real Madrid — drew the match 1-1 (result: D).
• Girona at home against Villarreal — won the match 1-0 (result: W).

Prediction

Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Girona.

Win probabilities: Home 68% / Draw 24% / Away 8%.

Large Stake on Home Win 1-0