Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-05-2026

Match Analysis

Heading into this fixture, our statistical model projects a final score of Tondela 0-1 Moreirense based on recent results, expected strikes data and head-to-head history. The win-probability split breaks down as 20% for Tondela, 34% for the draw and 46% for Moreirense, making Moreirense the clear favourite to take all three points in this encounter. Tondela have collected 1 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 2 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring six and conceding 7 goal(s) overall. Moreirense have collected 3 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in their last five fixtures, scoring 9 and conceding five goal(s) overall. These numbers should be read alongside any team news, weather conditions and motivation factors that might influence the outcome on the day.

Tondela — Recent Form

• Tondela away to Casa Pia Atletico — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).
• Tondela away to Sporting Lisbon — drew the match 2-2 (result: D).
• Tondela at home against Nacional — fell short the game 0-2 (result: L).
• Tondela away to FC Porto — came out on top the match 2-0 (result: W).
• Tondela at home against Gil Vicente — ended level the game 2-2 (result: D).

Moreirense — Recent Form

• Moreirense at home against Estrela Amadora — claimed a win the contest 3-2 (result: W).
• Moreirense away to Benfica — triumphed the match 4-1 (result: W).
• Moreirense at home against Estoril — won the fixture 1-0 (result: W).
• Moreirense away to Famalicao — drew the match 1-1 (result: D).
• Moreirense at home against Braga — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).

Prediction

Predicted score: Tondela 0-1 Moreirense.

Win probabilities: Home 20% / Draw 34% / Away 46%.

Large Stake on Away Win 0-1