Arouca vs Estrela Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — 19-04-2026

Match Analysis

Heading into this fixture, our statistical model projects a final score of Arouca 2-1 Estrela based on recent results, expected goals data and head-to-head history. The win-probability split breaks down as 42% for Arouca, 37% for the draw and 21% for Estrela, making Arouca the clear favourite to take all three points in this encounter. Arouca have collected 3 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 2 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 6 and conceding 5 goal(s) overall. Estrela have collected 3 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 10 and conceding 4 goal(s) overall. These numbers should be read alongside any team news, weather conditions and motivation factors that might influence the outcome on the day.

Arouca — Recent Form

• Arouca away to Braga — won the match 1-0 (result: W).
• Arouca at home against Estoril — won the match 3-2 (result: W).
• Arouca away to Moreirense — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).
• Arouca at home against Benfica — lost the match 1-2 (result: L).
• Arouca away to Famalicao — won the match 1-0 (result: W).

Estrela — Recent Form

• Estrela at home against Sporting Lisbon — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).
• Estrela away to Nacional — won the match 2-0 (result: W).
• Estrela at home against Casa Pia Atletico — won the match 4-0 (result: W).
• Estrela away to Rio Ave — won the match 2-1 (result: W).
• Estrela at home against Gil Vicente — drew the match 2-2 (result: D).

Prediction

Predicted score: Arouca 2-1 Estrela.

Win probabilities: Home 42% / Draw 37% / Away 21%.

Small Stake on Home Win 2-1