FC Porto vs Tondela Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — 19-04-2026

Match Analysis

Heading into this fixture, our statistical model projects a final score of FC Porto 3-0 Tondela based on recent results, expected goals data and head-to-head history. The win-probability split breaks down as 55% for FC Porto, 29% for the draw and 16% for Tondela, making FC Porto the clear favourite to take all three points in this encounter. FC Porto have collected 1 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 2 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 9 and conceding 9 goal(s) overall. Tondela have collected 1 win(s), 3 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 9 and conceding 5 goal(s) overall. These numbers should be read alongside any team news, weather conditions and motivation factors that might influence the outcome on the day.

FC Porto — Recent Form

• FC Porto away to Estoril — lost the match 1-3 (result: L).
• FC Porto at home against Famalicao — drew the match 2-2 (result: D).
• FC Porto away to Braga — lost the match 1-2 (result: L).
• FC Porto at home against Moreirense — won the match 3-0 (result: W).
• FC Porto away to Benfica — drew the match 2-2 (result: D).

Tondela — Recent Form

• Tondela at home against Gil Vicente — drew the match 2-2 (result: D).
• Tondela away to Guimaraes — won the match 5-0 (result: W).
• Tondela at home against Avs Futebol SAD — drew the match 0-0 (result: D).
• Tondela at home against Rio Ave — lost the match 0-1 (result: L).
• Tondela at home against Santa Clara — drew the match 2-2 (result: D).

Prediction

Predicted score: FC Porto 3-0 Tondela.

Win probabilities: Home 55% / Draw 29% / Away 16%.

Medium Stake on Home Win 3-0